“There’s always a risk of an October surprise," dijo Russ Dallen, a Miami-based lawyer who monitors the Venezuelan oil industry, referring to pre-election political moves designed to impress voters.

“They will keep hammering away at these wedge issues," dijo dallen. Since taking office, Trump has also heaped pressure on Cuba’s communist government, undoing a historic political opening by the previous administration of Barack Obama.

More worrying for Maduro parhaps, Venezuela oil production fell its lowest since 1929 el mes pasado, with no new drilling taking place, de acuerdo a Dallen’s consulting firm, Caracas Capital Markets. Venezuela’s oil production in July was only 339,000 barriles por día, a drop of 86% since Maduro took office in 2013 when the country produced 2.3 millones de barriles diarios.

The lack of new drilling is also an alarming sign for Maduro, los expertos dicen. “If you don’t drill you die," dijo dallen. “Venezuela has lakes of oil underground, but it doesn’t have the oceans of oil that Saudi Arabia is blessed with, so it has to keep drilling,”, Agregó.